Methodology for estimating the effects of new housing for demographic development and social infrastructure in suburban municipalities
Abstract
The aim of the methodology is to determine the optimal procedure for estimating future demographic trends and demands of the local social infrastructure generated by the age-specific populations of new housing in suburban communities. The specific output of the methodology is model-based projection of population development of the studied municipaity with an emphasis on the development of the size and age structure of the population of the planned new buildings and their claims on local social infrastructure.
To calculate the estimate projections and subsequent claims of new residents for social infrastructure, an internet application was programmed (http://web.natur.cuni.cz/demodept/kalkulacka/), where the user, based on the input parameters, can get information on the likely future age structure of the population of the new buildings and a probable number of users of social services calculated from the estimated future population of the new buildings of the municipality and its age structure.