Forecasting Mortality from Cardiovascular Diseases in the Czech Republic using the Lee–Carter method
2009
Abstract
The aim of this article is to demonstrate the application of the Lee–Carter forecasting method to mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the Czech Republic. The article opens with a description of the long-term trend in mortality from this cause of death and a description of the Lee–Carter forecasting method, which is widely used to model and forecast mortality trends.
The core part of the article, however, contains a decription and illustration of the main results of a forecast of the trend in mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the Czech Republic to 2015, and the forecasted mortality rates are then verified.