The aim of this article is to demonstrate the application of the Lee–Carter forecasting method to mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the Czech Republic. The article opens with a description of the long-term trend in mortality from this cause of death and a description of the Lee–Carter forecasting method, which is widely used to model and forecast mortality trends.
The core part of the article, however, contains a decription and illustration of the main results of a forecast of the trend in mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the Czech Republic to 2015, and the forecasted mortality rates are then verified.