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Local scaling properties and market turning points at Prague Stock Exchange

Publication |
2010

Abstract

We apply a method of time-dependent Hurst exponent, proposed in the series of papers by Grech and Mazur [Physica A 336, 335 (2004)], Grech and Pamula [Physica A 387, 4299 (2008)] and Czarnecki, Grech and Pamula [Physica A 387, 6801 (2008)], on the stock market of the Czech Republic for a period between 1997 and 2009. Our results support the findings of the authors so that the time-dependent Hurst exponent can give some crucial information before a critical event happens on a market.

We also discuss some potentially weak points of the method.