A model-based approach to the computation of area probabilities for precipitation exceeding a certain threshold

Abstrakt

In order to provide reliable weather warnings it is essential to estimate the probabilities for certain weather events occuring. The novelty of the presented approach is that a widely applicable estimation of area probabilities of rain is possible, based solely on predicted point probabilities.

Klíčová slova

• probabilistic weather prediction
• area probabilities
• precipitation amounts