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Future of trade relations within the 16+1 group : risks and opportunities

Publikace |
2015

Tento text není v aktuálním jazyce dostupný. Zobrazuje se verze "en".Abstrakt

The paper provides an overview of stylized facts on current trends in trade between the PRC and the 16 Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. The potential effects of the ""One Belt, One Road"" initiative are discussed as are policy recommendations for the CEE countries.

Trade with China is seen as complementary to trade with the core of the EU (and with the mutual trade of the CEE region,) once the international fragmentation of value chains is taken into account. Multilateral and plurilateral (e.g.

EU-based) approaches to relations with China are likely to generate fewer risks compared to isolated solutions based on national interest pursued individually by CEE countries.