Background: The utility of blood-brain barrier (BBB) biomarkers for clinical and magnetic resonance imaging progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) has not been extensively investigated. Objectives: To determine whether cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) measures of BBB at clinical onset predict radiological and clinical deterioration over 48 months.
Methods: This longitudinal study included 182 patients after first clinical event suggestive of MS treated with weekly intramuscular interferon beta-1a. CSF and serum samples were analyzed for leukocytes, total protein, albumin, immunoglobulins, and oligoclonal bands.
Optimal thresholds for the albumin quotient (QAlb) were determined. Mixed-effect model analyses, adjusted for age, gender, and treatment escalation, were used to analyze relationship between CSF measures and disease activity outcomes over 48 months of follow-up.
Results: Increased QAlb at clinical onset was associated with enlargement of lateral ventricles (p = .001) and greater whole brain (p = .003), white matter (p < .001), corpus callosum (p < .001), and thalamus (p = .003) volume loss over 48 months. Higher QAlb was associated with higher Expanded Disability Status Scale score over 48 months (p = .002).
Conclusions: Increased QAlb at clinical onset is associated with increased brain atrophy and greater disability in patients after first clinical event suggestive of MS.