How far can the Long Term Perspective for Defence 2030 See? The Czech Strategic Document in Context of Defence Policy and in Light of the World Foresight Studies
Abstract
The article deals with a strategic document that currently represents understanding of trends, which form the future security and operational environment, and that sets up the vectors for building-up and development of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic. The first aim is to assess the Long Term Perspective for Defence 2030 and its significance in context of other strategic documents adopted in the Czech Republic.
Another aim is to confront its contents with a structured analysis of large quantity of the state-of-the-art foresight studies, differentiated in geographical and thematic scope. The comparison allows identifying convergence and divergence between the Czech document and relevant findings from the foreign foresight documents.
This approach enables the judgement whether the Long Term Perspective for Defence 2030 provides a relevant guideline for the defence sector development, and whether it does or does not miss some of the issues found significant in the foresight documents in the outer world.