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Manipulation of cursed beliefs in online reviews

Publication

Abstract

Consumer reviews may have perverse effects, including delays of adoption in new products of unknown quality when consumers are boundedly rational. When consumers fail to take into account that past reviewers self-select to purchases, a monopolist may manipulate the posterior beliefs of consumers who observe the reviews, because the product price determines the self-selection bias.

The monopolist will charge a relatively high price because the positive selection of the early adopters increases the quality reported in the reviews.