Patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) are at increased risk of potentially catastrophic thromboembolic (TE) events that can occur without any previous clinical symptoms. Recently, the Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Outcome Investigators developed a model to predict TE risk in patients with HCM (HCM Risk-CVA model).
In this issue of the Canadian Journal of Cardiology, He et al. describe the first external validation of the previously developed HCM Risk-CVA model for the long-term TE risk. They collected 417 patients with HCM and followed them for 3.5 years.
Six percent of the patients experienced a TE end point, and the model demonstrated modest, but nevertheless potentially useful, discriminating capacity for TE events (C-index 0.67). Therefore, the authors suggest using it in clinical practice for individual prognosis and antithrombotic management.