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Seasonality and the non-trading effect on central European stock markets

Publication at Faculty of Social Sciences |
2006

Abstract

This paper investigates seasonality and non-trading effects on central European stock markets within the framework of a periodic autoregressive model for both the mean and the volatility of stock returns. The authors find significant day-of-week effects in the mean of returns on the Czech PX-D and the Polish WIG indices, and significant seasonality in the volatility of the Hungarian BUX index.

Similarly, the authors' empirical results indicate the presence of the non-trading effect in the mean of WIG stock returns. The seasonal patterns in central European stock indices cannot, however, be attributed to any particular day-of-week effect.