Abstract
The methodology is focused on integrated modelling of climate change impacts on social-ecological systems in cities and on methodological approach to vulnerability assessment of heat waves and extreme heat at local and city scales. Recent approaches are often based on insufficient data where land use, land cover and distribution of population in space are considered as constant.
This methodology then presents a complex approach to scenario building of future vulnerability of cities to heat waves and extreme heat, that is based on data synthesis originating from spatial modelling and participatory processes. To this end, the methodology elaborates on the aspects of climate modelling, land use and land cover scenarios development and sociodemogaphic scenarios until the year 2050.
The outcomes of the application of the methodology are a significant tool for urban adaptation planning in terms of adaptation measures allocation to the areas with recent and future sensibility to heat stress.