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Cities and violence : an empirical analysis of the case of costa rica [Villes et violence: une analyse empirique du cas du costa rica] [Cidades e violência: Uma análise empírica do caso de costa rica] [Ciudades y violencia: Un análisis empírico del caso de costa rica]

Publication |
2021

Abstract

This article focuses on the effect of urbanization on violent crime - particularly homicide in Costa Rica. Although violence is a major problem throughout Latin America, few empirical studies carried out in the area use high-quality socioeconomic and crime databases with a high level of geographical disaggregation.

In this article, we employ data from all 473 districts of Costa Rica between 2010 and 2013. We develop a model which takes into account endogeneity problems and uses contrasts of marginal linear predictions.

We conclude that the degree of urban concentration plays a key role in explaining homicide rates, other things being equal. This effect is progressive: the greater the urban concentration, the greater the increase in homicide rates.

This causal relationship is not observed in offenses other than homicide. (C) 2021, Instituto de Estudos Sociais e Politicos (IESP), UERJ. All rights reserved.