Electoral prediction: how to know election results before others

Abstract

This article presents a unique method of electoral prediction, with which we can relatively accurately estimate the final election results soon after the vote counting begins. It is based on the categorization of electoral districts into groups according to the similarity of electoral behaviour in previous years.

From a marketing perspective, the method is attractive for the purposes of television broadcasting.

Keywords

• elections
• electoral prediction
• cluster analysis
• competitive advantage
• Czechia