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Operational risk - scenario analysis

Publication

Abstract

Operational risk management and measurement has been paid an increasing attention in last years. This paper focuses on operational risk measurement techniques and on economic capital estimation methods.

A data sample of operational losses provided by an anonymous Central European bank is analyzed using several approaches. Two main problems are assessed in this paper - what is the most appropriate statistical method to measure and model operational loss data distribution and what is the impact of hypothetical plausible events on the financial institution.

The g&h distribution was evaluated to be the most suitable one for operational risk modeling because its results are consistent even while using a scenario analysis method.